Roubini: “Chegou a Reacção Contra a Globalização”
Alerta de Nouriel Roubini: a hora da reacção contra a globalização já chegou. Como ele escreve, “the backlash against globalization – and the freer movement of goods, services, capital, labor, and technology that came with it – has arrived”. Roubini estabelece e clarifica as causas dessa reacção: “The main causes of these trends are clear. Anemic economic recovery has provided an opening for populist parties, promoting protectionist policies, to blame foreign trade and foreign workers for the prolonged malaise. Add to this the rise in income and wealth inequality in most countries, and it is no wonder that the perception of a winner-take-all economy that benefits only elites and distorts the political system has become widespread”. Até a internet, destaca ele, está em vias de balkanização… Roubini não chega a formulá-lo mas o que ele destaca é realmente um movimento de fragmentação global, após o fracasso das promessas da “globalização feliz”, cujos “sinais fracos” há anos que aparecem no radar mas que poucos têm querido ver. Foi necessário verificar-se uma manifestação massiva de recusa, à escala do continente europeu (os ucranianos falharam completamente o seu timing…e só agravaram as coisas) para dar visibilidade a uma erosão fatal das condições (geo)políticas da “globalização feliz”…
The Great Global Backlash Has Arrived
Nouriel Roubini, Project Syndicate, June 2, 2014
The Associated Press
In the 1930’s, the failure to prevent the Great Depression empowered authoritarian regimes in Europe and Asia, eventually leading to World War II. This time, the damage caused by the Great Recession is subjecting most advanced economies to secular stagnation and creating major structural growth challenges for emerging markets.
In the immediate aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, policymakers’ success in preventing the Great Recession from turning into Great Depression II held in check demands for protectionist and inward-looking measures. But now the backlash against globalization – and the freer movement of goods, services, capital, labor, and technology that came with it – has arrived.Read Full Article ››
Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business and Chairman of Roubini Global Economics, was Senior Economist for International Affairs in the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration. He has worked for the International Monetary Fund, the US… read more