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Calendário Geopolítico da semana de 10 Outubro 2011

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Geopolitical Calendar: Week of Oct. 10, 2011

October 10, 2011 | 1203 GMT

Editor’s Note: The following is an internal STRATFOR document listing significant meetings and events planned for the next week. STRATFOR analysts use this document to stay informed of the activities and travel of world leaders and to guide their areas of focus for the week.

EURASIA

  • Oct. 10: Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and his Russian counterpart, Dmitri Medvedev, will attend the International Humanitarian Forum in Baku to discuss cultural and scientific affairs.
  • Oct. 10: Malta’s parliament will make another attempt to ratify the expansion of the European Financial Stability Facility after having failed to do so Oct. 6.
  • Oct. 10: The plenary session of the 57th NATO Parliamentary Assembly will be held in Bucharest, Romania. The NATO Parliamentary Assembly will present its recommendations, which will be debated and voted on.
  • Oct. 11: The Slovakian government plans to vote on the expansion of the European Financial Stability Facility. Slovakia is the last eurozone country to vote on this matter.
  • Oct. 11: KOVO, Slovakia’s metalworkers’ trade union, threatens to block border points with Austria, Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic between 3:30 p.m. and 4 p.m. to protest a potential increase in retirement age and reform of the pension system.
  • Oct. 11: Estonian President Toomas Hendrik Ilves will visit Latvia and meet with President Andris Berzins and Prime Minister Valdis Dombrovskis to discuss economic policies, security affairs and cooperation in the Baltic Sea region.
  • Oct. 11: Austrian President Heinz Fischer will pay an official visit to Azerbaijan to discuss economic and energy issues and meet with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, Prime Minister Artur Rasizade and Speaker of Parliament Oktay Asadov. He will be accompanied by Austria’s minister of economy and minister of social affairs. During Fischer’s visit, the Azerbaijani-Austrian economic forum will be held.
  • Oct. 11: The verdict in former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Timoshenko’s trial likely will be announced. Timoshenko was charged with abuse of office.
  • Oct. 12: The European Commission is expected to publish its opinion concerning Montenegro’s fulfillment of the EU accession conditions.
  • Oct. 12: Estonian, Latvian and Lithuanian farmers will protest in front of the EU building in Tallinn, Estonia, to present reform proposals concerning agricultural subsidies.
  • Oct. 12: Serbian Deputy Prime Minister Bozidar Delic expects the European Commission to grant Serbia EU candidate status.
  • Oct. 12: Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev will address the international forum marking the 20th anniversary of nuclear testing in the country.
  • Oct. 12: Turkish National Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz will lead a delegation to Azerbaijan, where they will discuss military and technological cooperation with Azerbaijan’s defense minister, defense industry minister, state border service chief and heads of other military organizations.
  • Oct. 12-14: Ecuadorian Foreign Minister Ricardo Patino will visit Germany to meet with German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle.
  • Oct. 12-16: Laotian President Chommaly Sayasone will visit Russia at the invitation of Russian President Dmitri Medvedev.
  • Oct. 13: European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso will meet Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borisov in Sofia, Bulgaria. He will be accompanied by the EU commissioners on financial programming and budget and on regional policy.
  • Oct. 13: The French Energy Ministry is expected to decide whether energy company Total is allowed to go forward with its plans to explore for shale gas in southern France.
  • Oct. 14: G-20 finance ministers will meet in Paris.
  • Oct. 14: In Greece, a 2 billion euro treasury bill will mature.

MIDDLE EAST/SOUTH ASIA

  • Oct. 10-11: Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yukio Edano will continue a visit to the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.
  • Oct. 10-12: Iranian law enforcement authorities will continue holding Law Enforcement Week, encouraging public cooperation.
  • Oct. 10-13: Turkey will continue military exercises involving the 39th infantry brigade and 730 reserve soldiers in Hatay, a southern city bordering Syria.
  • Oct. 12: The deadline for the Indian Commission on Jammu and Kashmir to submit its report on the concerns surrounding Indian-administered Kashmir will pass.
  • Oct. 12-13: Afghan Finance Minister Omar Zakhelwal will visit Pakistani Finance Minister Abdul Hafez Shaikh in Islamabad.
  • Oct. 12-15: Myanmar President Thein Sein will make his first state visit to India.
  • Oct. 13: The Kuwaiti opposition led by Islamist Faisal al-Muslim will file an official complaint against the prime minister and await a statement by the liberal opposition Popular Action Bloc about whether it will support the move.
  • Oct. 12-13: Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will deliver a speech at the national assembly of prayer leaders in Bushehr, Iran.
  • Oct. 14: India and Singapore will begin joint military training exercise.
  • Oct. 15: Oman will hold elections for its Consultative Council.

EAST ASIA

  • Unspecified Date: Canadian Trade Minister Ed Fast will visit Beijing and Shanghai as well as the cities of Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Suzhou and Qingdao.
  • Unspecified Date: Papua New Guinean Prime Minister Peter O’Neill will make a two-day visit to Australia.
  • Oct. 11: Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra will visit Naypyidaw with Myanmar President Thein Sein and Senior General Than Shwe.
  • Oct. 11: U.N. Undersecretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator Valerie Amos will visit Shanghai and Beijing.
  • Oct. 11-12: Russia Prime Minister Vladimir Putin will pay a two-day working visit to China at the invitation of Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao. Putin is scheduled to attend the 16th regular meeting of Russian and Chinese governments in Beijing and meet with Chinese President Hu Jintao.
  • Oct. 11-12: German Chancellor Angela Merkel will pay an official visit to Vietnam and is expected to hold bilateral talks with Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung.
  • Oct. 11-15: Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong will visit China.
  • Oct. 12: Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra will visit Singapore.
  • Oct. 12: German Chancellor Angela Merkel will become the first German chancellor to visit Mongolia and is expected to meet both Mongolian President Tsakhiagiin Elbegdorj and Prime Minister Sukhbaatar Batbold.
  • Oct. 13-15: Vietnamese President Truong Tan Sung will lead a delegation to visit Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa.

AMERICAS

  • Unspecified Date: Members of Chile’s senate will present a proposal to create a senatorial-congressional committee that would write a new constitution.
  • Oct. 10: Hacker collective Anonymous has promised to attack the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Oct. 10: Tanzanian Prime Minister Mizengo Pinda will visit Brazil.
  • Oct. 10: Officials from the Peruvian national government, regional governments, the city of Tacna and members of the local population will hold a round-table dialog to discuss controversial mining projects, such as Southern Copper, in the area.
  • Oct. 10-11: Union of South American Nations members will put forth norms for the solution investment contentions in a meeting in Asuncion, Paraguay.
  • Oct. 10-17: The Brazilian armed forces’ western command will carry out a weeklong series of exercises known as Operation Anhandui.
  • Oct. 11: A special commission in the Brazilian parliament will review the “Law of the Cup” that establishes the legal framework for the 2014 World Cup and the relationship of rights and duties between the government and FIFA.
  • Oct. 11: Viktor Bout, a Russian arms dealer who has been in jail since March 2008, is scheduled to go to trial in New York. He is accused of illegally selling weapons to Colombian rebels and conspiring to kill U.S. nationals.
  • Oct. 11: Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas will visit Colombia to attempt to convince Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos to vote for Palestinian statehood.
  • Oct. 12-13: Peru will auction off Olmos (Lambayeque) lands for the Majes-Siguas irrigation project.
  • Oct. 13: South Korean President Lee Myung Bak will visit the United States and meet with U.S. President Barack Obama.
  • Oct. 14-30: The 16th Pan American Games will take place in Guadalajara, Mexico.
  • Oct. 15: Colombian Defense Minister Juan Carlos Pinzon will be in the city of Santa Marta to review the security strategies being implemented and suggest improvements.
  • Oct. 15: Representatives of the governments of Peru and Venezuela will restart negotiations in Lima on the Treaty of Commercial and Productive Complementarity in order to increase bilateral economic ties.

AFRICA

  • Oct. 10: Uganda’s parliament will discuss the London-listed Heritage Oil trial that is being held in London courts.
  • Oct. 10-12: Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan will conclude a tour that included visits to Ethiopia, Rwanda, and Ghana to discuss bilateral relations with the countries’ heads of state.
  • Oct. 10-12: Myanmar’s exiled Prime Minister Sein Win will continue a visit to South Africa to accept an honorary doctorate on behalf of Nobel Peace Laureate Aung San Suu Kyi.
  • Oct. 11: Liberian presidential elections will be held.
  • Oct. 14-15: The Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa will hold a quarterly meeting in Malawi.
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