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Calendário Geopolítico da semana de 17 Outubro 2011

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Geopolitical Calendar: Week of Oct. 17, 2011

October 17, 2011 | 1210 GMT

Editor’s Note: The following is an internal STRATFOR document listing significant meetings and events planned for the next week. STRATFOR analysts use this document to stay informed of the activities and travel of world leaders and to guide their areas of focus for the week.

EURASIA

  • Oct. 16-18: Ecuadorian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Integration Ricardo Patino Aroca will pay an official visit to Minsk, Belarus.
  • Oct. 12-20: Uruguayan President Jose Mujica will visit Sweden, Norway, Germany and the EU headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, to seek investments and technological research opportunities.
  • Oct. 17: The deadline for the Portuguese government to present the 2012 budget draft to parliament will pass.
  • Oct. 17-20: Tax offices are expected to be closed due to strikes planned by Greek tax inspectors.
  • Oct. 18: Russian President Dmitri Medvedev is scheduled to attend the second Russian-Ukrainian Inter-regional Economic Forum with Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich in Donetsk, Ukraine, to discuss key Ukrainian-Russian cooperation topics.
  • Oct. 18: Azerbaijani opposition group Public Chamber is scheduled to hold a rally to mark the anniversary of Azerbaijani independence and 100th anniversary of the opposition Musavat party.
  • Oct. 18: St. Petersburg is set to host a meeting of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) government heads to discuss about 20 issues. Also, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian Prime Minister Nikolai Azarov will meet to discuss signing an agreement that will create a free trade area within the CIS.
  • Oct. 18: Ecuadorian Minister for Foreign Affairs, Trade and Integration Ricardo Patino Aroca will meet with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on an official visit to discuss international political issues and ways to strengthen Ecuadorian-Azerbaijani relations.
  • Oct. 18-23: Greek customs officers are expected to hold a strike.
  • Oct. 19: The two largest Greek labor unions, ADEDY and the General Confederation of Greek Labor, are scheduled to hold a general strike. The seamen and port workers said they would participate.
  • Oct. 19: Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev will pay an official two-day visit to Kazakhstan to attend the summit of the Cooperation Council of Turkic-speaking countries. Turkey and Azerbaijan are expected to sign nine agreements, including a cooperation agreement in the marine and merchant-shipping field.
  • Oct. 19-20: Spanish Secretary of State for Foreign Trade Alfredo Bonet will pay an official two-day visit to Azerbaijan to discuss prospects for bilateral trade with key economic organizations of the republic.
  • Oct. 19-21: Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte will visit Moscow for three days.
  • Oct. 20: Ukrainian President Victor Yanukovich will meet with European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso in Brussels to discuss the prospects of an association status accord with the European Union and the internal political situation in Ukraine.
  • Oct. 20: The Greek parliament is expected to vote on austerity legislation.
  • Oct. 20-27: The General Confederation of Portuguese Workers (CGTP) trade union in Portugal plans a week of strikes.
  • Oct. 21: A 2 billion-euro Treasury bill will mature in Greece.
  • Oct. 21: The finance and economy ministers of EU and eurozone countries are expected to discuss potential solutions to the eurozone debt crisis in Brussels.

MIDDLE EAST/SOUTH ASIA

  • Oct. 18: The first group of 450 Palestinian prisoners will be released from Israeli prisons as part of the Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit prisoner exchange with Palestinian Islamist group Hamas.
  • Oct. 18: The eighth Korean-Middle East Cooperation Forum will be held in Seoul, South Korea, to discuss relations between the Gulf Cooperation Council and South Korea.
  • Oct. 18: Candidate registration for Egyptian parliamentary elections ends.
  • Oct. 19: Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi, Interior Minister Mostafa Mohammad Najjar and representatives from the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence and Security and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will meet at the Persian Gulf Conference, which is hosted by the Parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Commission.
  • Oct. 19: Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit, who has been detained by Hamas since 2006, will return to Israel by plane after he is taken into Egypt through the Rafah border crossing.
  • Oct. 21-22: International Monetary Fund director Christine Lagarde will meet with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) finance ministers in the 91st annual GCC Financial and Economic Committee meeting in Abu Dhabi, where they will discuss railway networks, customs tax and duty exemptions on national products.
  • Oct. 21-23: Jordan will host 700 international leaders at the World Economic Forum’s Special Meeting on Economic Growth and Job Creation in the Arab World for the sixth time.
  • Oct. 22: The Alliance of Democratic Powers, which will include the Iraqi Communist Party, the National Democratic Party and several other groups, will officially announce its presence with the intention of running in Iraq’s next round of elections.
  • Oct. 22: The trial of two police officers implicated in the torture and death of activist Khaled Said will continue in Alexandria, Egypt.
  • Oct. 23: Tunisia will hold its first elections for a constituent assembly since the ouster of former President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.
  • Oct. 23: The Bahraini Supreme Criminal Court of Appeal will hear the case of 20 doctors who were detained for participating in anti-government protests in February.
  • Oct. 23: The trial will continue for five bloggers in the United Arab Emirates who are charged with instigating the public against the government and posing a threat to state security.
  • Oct. 23: Foreign ministers of the Arab League and Gulf Cooperation Council will hold an emergency meeting in Cairo to discuss the situation in Syria.

EAST ASIA

  • Oct. 15-18: The Sixth Plenary Session of the 17th Communist Party of China Central Committee will meet in Beijing.
  • Oct. 16-18: North Korea and the United States will hold “working-level” talks on resuming recovery missions for the remains of U.S. troops killed in Bangkok during the Korean War.
  • Oct. 17: Six U.S. governors will travel to China and Japan this week for meetings on economic matters.
  • Oct. 17: Japanese Foreign Minister Koichiro Gemba and Defense Minister Yasuo Ichikawa will meet with Okinawa Prefecture Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima to discuss the relocation of a U.S. military base within the prefecture.
  • Oct. 17-21: U.N. top emergency relief coordinator Valerie Amos will make her first visit to North Korea to assess conditions of the 6 million affected by the famine there. She will hold talks with government officials and visit areas outside Pyongyang.
  • Oct. 18-19: Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda will travel to Seoul for summit talks with South Korean President Lee Myung Bak.
  • Oct. 19: The European Parliament’s Delegation for Relations with the Korean Peninsula, led by Christian Ehler, will visit North Korea for parliamentary talks.
  • Oct. 19-21: Negotiators from China’s Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Straits and Taiwan’s Straits Exchange Foundation will hold talks in China’s northern city of Tianjin. The goal of the talks is to sign an agreement on nuclear power safety in the wake of Japan’s atomic crisis earlier this year.
  • Oct. 19-22: Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi will pay official visits to Denmark and the Bahamas.
  • Oct. 19-22: Russian Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev will visit China to hold the sixth round of strategic security talks with Chinese State Councilor Dai Bingguo.
  • Oct. 20: The Japanese government and ruling party plan to convene a special session of parliament that will continue until Dec. 9. The government will submit the fiscal 2011 third supplementary budget Oct. 28. The extra budget will be used to finance reconstruction of areas affected by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.
  • Oct. 20: Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono will reshuffle his Cabinet in a move to improve the government’s performance and popularity.
  • Oct. 20: Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono will meet with Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak on Lombok Island for their annual special meeting.
  • Oct. 20-22: Myanmar Foreign Minister Wunna Maung Lwin will visit Japan.
  • Oct. 21: In Thailand, B5 biodiesel will be available at pumps in place of B4 nationwide until December.
  • Oct. 21-29: U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta will embark on an eight-day trip to Japan, the Indonesian resort of Bali and South Korea.
  • Oct. 21: The trial of former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui on charges of embezzling state funds will begin.
  • Oct. 21-26: Myanmar Vice President Tin Aung Myint Oo will visit China for the opening of a China-Association of Southeast Asian Nations Exposition. The main purpose of his visit, however, is to meet with Chinese leaders to discuss the suspension of a dam being built and financed by Chinese firms.

AMERICAS

  • Unspecified Date: Brazilian Minister of Mines and Energy Edison Lobao said the government will publish provisional measures to stimulate the ethanol sector.
  • Unspecified Date: U.S. President Barack Obama is expected to sign the Congress-approved Colombian Free Trade Agreement.
  • Oct. 4-23: Lebanese Maronite Patriarch Mar Bechara Boutros al-Rahi of Antioch and the Levant will visit various churches and bishops during a tour of the United States.
  • Oct. 12-18: Swiss Economics Minister Johann Schneider-Ammann will tour Brazil and Chile with a large business delegation. One of his goals is a free trade agreement with Brazil.
  • Oct. 17-26: U.N. Deputy High Commissioner for Human Rights Kyung-wha Kang will visit Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay to review the human rights situation in each country.
  • Oct. 18: The countries that comprise the Latin American Integration Association will meet in Montevideo, Uruguay, to try to foment a regional stance on the European economic crisis.
  • Oct. 18-19: Chilean students and trade unions will hold another round of general strikes.
  • Oct. 20: Twenty-one oil blocks in southeastern Ecuador will be put up for auction.
  • Oct. 21: The U.S. Congress is expected to give a final endorsement of a free trade agreement with South Korea.

AFRICA

  • Oct. 14-18: Nigerian Ogun state civil servants plan to protest the national tax increase.
  • Oct. 17-28: The Rwanda Military Academy will hold an East African Community Military Command-Post Exercise.
  • Oct. 17: Sudanese President Omar al Bashir will address Sudan’s parliament, the National Assembly.
  • Oct. 17-22: Ugandan activists Action for Change plan to stage a walk-to-work campaign to protest rising prices, corruption and unemployment.
  • Oct. 16-19: South Africa will host a joint U.N. Development Programme and European Marketing Research Centre AgriBusiness Forum in Johannesburg.
  • Oct. 18: Angolan President Jose Eduardo dos Santos will address parliament for a State of the Nation speech.
  • Oct. 18-20: Tanzania’s ruling Chama cha Mapinduzi party will convene to discuss corruption allegations against Prime Minister Edward Lowassa.
  • Oct. 18-20: Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff will attend an India-Brazil-South Africa summit in Pretoria, South Africa, on Oct. 18 before flying to Maputo, Mozambique, on Oct. 19. She will then visit Luanda, Angola, on Oct. 20 before returning to Brazil.
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